Monday August 13, 2007
Via the wonderful Double-A
Zone blog…
- The
text-messaging ban sticks. The Division I membership will get to vote
on the proposal in January, but it will take a 5/8 majority to override it
now.
- Baseball financial aid will
be revised. Because baseball student-athletes share 11.7 scholarships
among them, the portions can vary widely. The original proposal was to limit
an individual’s share to no less than 33% of a scholarship. That has been
changed to 25% of a scholarship. The size of a baseball squad will ultimately
be capped at 35.
- The Final Four will be played in aircraft hangars soon. Instead of the current
half-arena configurations we see when basketball tournaments are played in
football domes, the Final Four in 2009 will begin
using entire-arena configurations that will allow for more than 70,000
seats. Though I think the change will have some problems as the intimate 94-foot
sport of basketball gets swallowed by these giant arenas, I like that students
will have easier access to tickets in the future. Ever been to a basketball
game at a dome? Lifeless is an understatement.
Thursday August 9, 2007
The last meta-topic we’ll touch on before this season starts is the ultra-subjective
group of "elite" or "national power" teams. Stewart Mandel
waded into this territory last week and fumbled around, and he
really whiffed with his "what does someone in Montana think?"
attempt
this week.
Many getting involved in this discussion are dwelling, like Mandel, on the
related but different question of being nationally recognized. Yes,
everyone knows Herschel Walker. Uga is an icon. "Between the Hedges"
means something to most knowledgeable football fans. The "G" is sharp
and distinctive. None of that makes Georgia a national power on the football
field. A powerful brand? Sure..probably even in Montana.
The question of actual power has to be fluid and kept in the current context
because it wanes and waxes. History is full of teams and individuals that were
once powerful and relevant but aren’t any longer. How a team has done since
1976 doesn’t really have any relevance to me. Power, though not a one-season
thing, is still pretty short-term. Personally, I think we use the "elite"
label a little too loosely in an everybody-gets-a-trophy kind of way. There
are only a handful of programs each season who belong in the national title
picture, and it doesn’t make sense to continually be on the outside of that
picture and still be considered a national power.
Some will use historical criteria. Others prefer averaging wins over a reasonable
period. Championships matter more to some. A coast-to-coast schedule impresses
others. I think it’s much simpler and can be boiled down to three guidelines:
- You must show some level of consistency. FSU set the bar in the 1990s. One
phenomenal season doesn’t make you a power.
- You should be considered at least peripherally in some recent national title
discussions. Winning it really helps.
- You cannot consider yourself a "power", especially in
the national sense, when you’re under someone’s thumb.
Georgia fans will recognize right away that I played the Florida card. It’s
plain silly to talk about national power status when you’re on the wrong side
of such a one-sided series. That means you too, Alabama. It also held a team
like Texas up before Vince Young came along. It held Ohio State up under John
Cooper. This point alone settles Georgia’s "national power" question
for me, but we’ll look at the other guidelines anyway.
Has Georgia’s success been consistent? Last season was the first year since
2001 in which the Dawgs didn’t win at least 10 games. Not bad. But that ten
win threshold, particularly in the 12-game era, still means at least two losses
per season. They’ve won three divisional and two major conference titles over
the same span and haven’t gone more than a single season without a trip to the
conference championship game. That’s outstanding in a conference like the SEC.
By itself, Georgia’s consistency seems enough to merit national power recognition.
Georgia hasn’t been a part of the national title discussion since 2002. Yes,
they started 2004 ranked #3. That faded after a scare at South Carolina and
a loss to Tennessee. It was nearly impossible to get above the noise of Southern
Cal and Texas in 2005, and Georgia’s chances ended when D.J. Shockley crumpled
to the turf against Arkansas. Georgia has certainly been relevant over that
time and probably competitive with any team, but it’s hard to make the case
that they belonged among the teams mentioned as title contenders.
The Bulldogs aren’t far from national power status. 2007 is very important
in terms of consistency- they cannot slide lower than the 9-win total of last
season. The national title discussion is already crystallizing around a handful
of teams – LSU, Southern Cal, and Michigan with teams like Texas, Florida, and
your choice of Big East teams on the periphery. Most importantly, the Dawgs
must find a way soon to turn the Florida series. I don’t mean that Georgia must
begin dominating the series. Just get it competitive again.
If you forced me to stick to these criteria to say who the elite teams are
in college football, here we go: Southern Cal. LSU. Texas. Ohio State. Florida
depends upon the consistency they show this year. Maybe Oklahoma (waning?).
That’s it. No Notre Dame. No Tennessee. No Georgia. No Cal. Michigan? You’re
close, but work on the consistency thing and on beating Ohio State.
There’s no shame to be where Georgia is right now. Most programs would kill
for it. Let’s just not call it what it isn’t. Deep down, we know that there
is a next step that Georgia has yet to take.
Friday August 3, 2007
The preseason USA Today Coaches’ Poll is out this morning, and the Dawgs check in at a respectable #13. That’s third-highest for any SEC team (LSU and Florida are #2 and #3). Too high? Too low? Who knows? We do know that poll position matters when it comes to the national title race, and the Dawgs aren’t far away from cracking the top 10. The preseason top 10: - Southern Cal
- LSU
- Florida
- Texas
- Michigan
- West Virginia
- Wisconsin
- Oklahoma
- Virginia Tech
- Ohio State
Six SEC teams are ranked: LSU (#2), Florida (#3), Georgia (#13), Auburn (#14), Tennessee (#15), and Arkansas (#20). South Carolina, Kentucky, and Alabama also received votes. Out-of-conference opponents Georgia Tech and Oklahoma State were also among the “others receiving votes” category.
As a reminder, here’s Georgia’s consensus preseason position over the last decade or so:
Year |
Preseason |
Final |
Change |
1996 |
– |
– |
– |
1997 |
– |
10 |
+16 |
1998 |
24 |
14 |
+10 |
1999 |
15 |
16 |
-1 |
2000 |
9 |
20 |
-11 |
2001 |
25 |
22 |
+3 |
2002 |
9 |
3 |
+6 |
2003 |
10 |
7 |
+3 |
2004 |
3 |
7 |
-4 |
2005 |
13 |
10 |
+3 |
2006 |
16 |
23 |
-7 |
Wednesday August 1, 2007
The Senator has
some thoughtful
posts up in the past couple of days about preseason polls and their effect
on the postseason.
I looked
at the story of Auburn 2004 myself last month (more from a scheduling perspective)
and came to a similar conclusion but with one key difference: Auburn’s problems
started long before the preseason polls. I believe that the mess left after
the 2003 BCS established default 2004 contenders from the second that the final
whistle blew. The 2004 preseason polls were just the culmination of the controversy
and eight months of debate.
We see a similar thing already happening this season. Even before any official
preseason polls have been released, those who help to guide the discussion are
already
setting the table for a Southern Cal – LSU national title game. It’s theirs
to lose.
I don’t disagree with the merit and logic of delaying official polls. It’s
clear that "name" programs get the benefit of the doubt. I do think
though that delaying polls runs contrary to the nature of a football fan. We
are constantly measuring ourselves against our rivals and opponents in everything
from recruiting to scheduling.
Many of the preseason polls included in Stassen’s analysis do nothing but drive
magazine sales. If an Auburn fan can hold something over the head of an Alabama
fan, it doesn’t matter how premature, inaccurate, or trivial the poll is. Mascots?
Been there. Stadiums? Done that. Coaches? Finebaum stirs that pot every summer.
Will that change if official polls are delayed? I don’t think so. Fans will
still support the preseason magazine industry, and the rankings are the core
of that business. I even suspect that the official polls themselves wouldn’t
change much. Why? Because, as the Senator reminds us, people
who vote in polls are lazy. How true that is. What that means in terms of
releasing polls later in the season is that the pollsters will "cheat".
The groupthink would be established over the summer by the pundits and the magazines,
and no observer of the game can remain untainted. Why take the time to pour
over a month of football when Phil Steele has done all of the work for you?
Take the preseason consensus, adjust for the losses over the first month of
the season, and you’re done. For that reason, I don’t expect that any poll released
for the first time in October would be much different than the polls we already
see in the fifth and sixth week of the season.
While the flaw the Senator points out is very real, I’m not so sure that delaying
polls would provide any real changes.
Thursday July 26, 2007
Rivals.com is reporting that Wake Forest men’s basketball coach Skip Prosser has died after collapsing during a jog. Prosser rebuilt Wake into a top 10 program and was in the middle of assembling one of the nation’s best recruiting classes. Our thoughts are with the Wake Forest fans this evening.
Georgia coach Dennis Felton joined Prosser this spring as part of Operation Hardwood in Kuwait, so we’re almost certain to have a comment soon from Coach Felton.
Thursday July 26, 2007
It’s that time of year when you begin going through the garage and taking inventory
of your tailgate supplies. The chairs probably have to be dusted off. Menus
must be planned. The generator might need some oil. You might even need a new
tent. Yesterday the Georgia
Sports Blog highlighted the latest in tailgating toys – a giant, inflatable
canopy dwarfing anything you have at your tailgate now. Nice, huh? I can’t get
past the fact that 1) it looks like a spider and 2) anything inflatable reminds
me of that insect they have filling empty seats in Atlanta. I have no idea how
that bee kept deflating during games in the early 1990s.
They take a slightly
different approach to tailgate preparation in Iraq (h/t Deadspin):
Iraqi fans have been stocking up on gasoline and ammunition in preparation
for their national soccer team’s Asian Cup semi-final against South Korea.
Outstanding. Those Iraqi fans must’ve done their postgraduate work at
N.C. State.
Wednesday July 25, 2007
It began earlier
this month when Stewart
Mandel wrote,
USC and LSU have to play for the national championship this season. It is
no longer possible to envision any other satisfying conclusion.
Now the ESPN
pundits have picked it up and are fully on board. (h/t Get
the Picture)
On the inaugural edition of “College Football Live” on ESPN last
night (featuring the same 3 gentlemen), we were told to expect a “national
title” match up between USC and LSU.
Of course picking Southern Cal and LSU to play for the national title isn’t
left-field analysis. They’re both good teams and reasonable picks. Just understand
that you’ll be sick of Les Miles by August 22nd…if you’re not already.
Two storylines will collide on September 8th. This inevitable SoCal – LSU national
title express meets the Virginia Tech sackcloth
and ashes show. Heathers indeed. Surely the Tigers won’t be so
insensitive as to actually try to win that game?
Wednesday July 25, 2007
There’s an interesting discussion going on about the influence of ESPN in the
college football world. We’ll pick it up with Kyle’s
post here and then see responses here
and here.
Interesting stuff, mostly.
I have to admit that it’s good sport to watch the nascent sports blogosphere
interact with the sports media. I can understand how the blogs which really
began to hit their stride two years ago think that this is new ground, but it’s
not. The first generation of online writers in the mid-1990s also butted heads
with more traditional media, and we saw much of the same friction. If there’s
a difference it’s in the competitive marketplace. Print journalism was (and
still is) competing directly with a lot of these online sites. Innovations we
take for granted on modern newspaper Web sites such as multiple daily updates,
deeper online photo galleries, and even comments and discussion spaces were
pioneered first online and adopted by print media in the fight for eyeballs.
Inch-deep coverage wasn’t going to cut it as the predecessors of Rivals.com
and Scout.com changed the marketplace.
Blogs have taken the interaction to a more granular individual level. Smarter
journalists are jumping in with
both feet and have built their own personal brands. Newspapers like the
AJC have beat blogs with more frequent, brief, and informal updates from their
journalists on the news beats. Several professional
pundits have embraced the interaction and earned places as authorities and
discussion leaders. The competition here has to do with insight, interesting
ideas, and access. Unless Ivan Maisel offers compelling content, why read him
instead of an interesting blog? We’re all just writers hoping that someone will
find our content worth reading. Some do it better than others, and some stake
their livelihoods on it.
With ESPN television, it’s a bit of a different story. There simply isn’t the
competitive pressure. We have to differentiate between the ESPN punditry and
the network itself. The pundits, from Simmons to Schlabach and on down, face
the same competition in the marketplace of ideas as any other "print"
journalist. But in terms of SportsCenter or Gameday or live coverage of games
themselves, the competition (if any) comes from CBS, FOX, and other networks,
not from Deadspin or DawgsOnline.
ESPN Gameday might be cheesy, overdo the Virginia Tech story, or go to the wrong
game. Who cares? We’ll watch anyway. Eyeballs and ratings
– not well-crafted blog missives – are what drives ESPN. When someone carries
more games or provides a better alternative to Gameday, the competition will
tell the tale.
We complain about the influence of ESPN in college football, but what we might
have seen is the Law of Unintended Consequences at work after 20 years.
Prior to 1984, the NCAA
had strict control over which schools appeared on television:
Under the old NCAA plan, which had been in effect since 1952, teams were
limited to six appearances during two seasons.
Schools which attempted to organize their own deals were threatened with banishment
from the organization, and it wasn’t until Georgia and Oklahoma successfully
sued the NCAA in that landmark 1984 case that things began to change. The CFA
replaced the NCAA as the distributor of television coverage, but even that proved
too restrictive for the membership. The moves by Notre Dame (NBC) and the SEC
(CBS) in the early 1990s brought control of television deals down to the conference
and even the individual team level.
But while NBC and CBS settled on those valuable broadcast rights, ESPN attacked
with breadth. So CBS has the best SEC game of the week; ESPN will take the second-best…and
the fourth-best. It’ll also add another game on ESPN2. They might even convince
a couple of SEC teams to play on Thursday night. Combine that with the national
and regional reach of ABC, and you have quite a network. NBC will have their
Notre Dame game, CBS will have one or two games, but there’s a lot of action
left over and a lot of demand for college football. Spread it beyond Saturdays,
and there are even more opportunities to broadcast games with programs willing
to sacrifice the tradition of Saturday afternoon for national exposure.
Think about what some of this additional coverage has meant to the game. Back
in the days of few networks and NCAA limits on television appearances, would
stories like Boise State or Rutgers ever catch on? Would anyone have seen all
but a glimpse or two of the West Virginia backfield? It’s likely that a displaced
fan in Oregon can somehow catch the UConn-Pittsburgh game. Through broadcast
networks and pay-per-view, almost every Georgia game is available on television.
Were such things even imaginable 25 years ago?
Increased coverage has done its part to make things more democratic. With more
and more games showing up on television, there are fewer and fewer excuses for
pollsters and the punditry to be provincial. Even more, it’s easier and easier
for the college football fan to catch the BS and have their own informed opinions
about the national landscape.
This widespread availability of games has come with a cost, and obviously networks
are not bringing us more games out of altruism. Without the oversight and restraint
of the NCAA or even the CFA, television networks can dangle some pretty juicy
plums in front of conferences. Teams, particularly those mid-level programs
who will do anything for a little more exposure, have begun playing on all days
of the week. It’s hard for me as a fan of a program with plenty of exposure
and cash to criticize this development, but I wouldn’t like my team taking a
spot in one of those games.
There is a concern that ESPN is crossing lines in brokering out of conference
games. Arranging games is nothing new. It’s how college football’s most
cherished tradition and most
valuable brand came to be. The
Senator is nervous (with good reason) that the media conglomerate might
take a greater role in the evolution of the college football postseason, yet
we hold on to a postseason where matchups are already brokered well in advance
by conferences and local chambers of commerce.
College football has brought a lot of the current state of affairs on itself.
The 1984 decision gave greater negotiating power to teams and conferences, but
it also transfered power from the NCAA to the networks. Some
suggest that we’d have the same breadth of televised games regardless due
to the growth of cable and satellite television, but I have to think that at
some point the NCAA would have put a stop to things like Friday night college
football. It could be argued that such limits would be to the detriment of smaller
programs, but that’s a moot point; the CFA ship has sailed a long time ago.
We also fret over ESPN crossing over the news/entertainment line, but that’s
not as big of an issue with me. I rarely rely on ESPN as a news organization.
I never watch EOE productions. I watch sports. If ESPN has too much influence,
it’s the tradeoff we make by giving media opinion such a prominent role in college
football’s ultimate prizes. Again, media influence is hardly a new development.
In recognition of that long-standing fact, ESPN and the AP withdrew
from their participation in the BCS.
So what are we left with? A self-promoting media organization that brings us
dozens of good college football games. Of course they have some awful commentators
and analysts; that’s kind of unavoidable anywhere these days. I’ve had my criticisms
of the coverage before, but it’s because I want a better product to watch and
not because ESPN/ABC is leading us all down the path to prepackaged hell. I
will close with this: with the NCAA more or less hands-off when it comes to
the college football postseason, someone else will guide the process. The networks
and their sponsors already have a large role in the BCS, and it shouldn’t surprise
anyone to see them at the forefront of future changes.
Thursday July 19, 2007
In advance of the SEC media days next week, the league has announced the coaches pre-season all-SEC football team. You’ll have to look hard to find the Georgia representatives.
Brandon Coutu and Mikey Henderson from special teams were Georgia’s only first-team honorees.
The Dawgs had just one offensive player on first, second, or third teams: offensive lineman Fernando Velasco was on the third team.
Georgia’s two defensive representatives were on the second team. Safety Kelin Johnson got the nod entering his senior season. Surprisingly, linebacker Brandon Miller was named to the second team before he’s even played a down at his new middle linebacker position.
I can’t quibble with much. Maybe Brannan Southerland should have been on there somewhere. But most of Georgia’s playmakers from last season have either graduated or left for the NFL. And there’s an awful lot of Georgia’s depth chart that hasn’t had enough playing experience to merit much recognition…yet.
I do expect the Dawgs to have a few more names on the lists that matter at the end of the season, and part of the fun of this year will be watching who emerges as those standouts.
The media should have their preseason honors next week.
Friday July 13, 2007
Wake
Forest got tremendous basketball recruiting news yesterday courtesy of the
state of Georgia.
Forward Al-Farouq Aminu and center Tony Woods, two of the top in-state prospects
for the 2008 class, committed to the Demon Deacons yesterday. Though
either could have played for most any team in the nation, Aminu had been a top
target for Georgia Tech (his brother plays there), and Georgia was among the
finalists for Woods.
The duo adds to what might be the nation’s best recruiting class. They’ll certainly
have the nation’s best incoming frontcourt. Better Wake than Tech or Florida.
There was one very troubling thing. The SI article linked above includes this
line:
Woods said he considered Georgia until "I saw their true colors come
out during the recruitment. I like the Ivy League education at Wake.
I’d be very interested to hear more about what he means. Those two sentences
together imply something about the quality of a University of Georgia education,
but it could also mean any number of things. This puzzling quote is just a few weeks after Woods had said,
“The coaches from Georgia have made a good impression on me,” he said. “I like their approach. They’ve been real persistent, but in a good way. Sometimes coaches can be persistent, but annoying. They’re not like that. I feel like we have a good relationship.”
Thursday July 12, 2007
Georgia point guard and reigning SEC Freshman of the Year Ashley Houts was
the only rising sophomore named to the USA U21 national team this summer. That
team just
won the 2007 FIBA U21 World Championship, and Houts was an important contributor
off the bench for the national team. Though she was just a reserve, she quickly
found a role as a spark that could pick the team up and get them through some
rough patches. Teammates credited her for turning around a sluggish performance
against Hungary. Stanford All-American Candace Wiggins said,
Ashley’s (Houts) shot and her defense in general gave us a lot of momentum
going into the second half. We were able to take that energy that we ended
the first half with and build on it in the second half. I think that was the
biggest change of the game. Our defense intensified and you could just feel
it.
Yep, that’s the player we came to love last year, and it sounds like someone
ready to step into a leadership position when she returns to Georgia.
Houts kept a journal during the tournament:
We also learned this week that senior forward Tasha
Humphrey was selected as one of 12 players to represent the United States
in the Pan American games held later this month in Rio. Humphrey’s participation
is very significant. Not only is it a great honor and recognition of Humphrey
as an outstanding player, it’s also one of the first opportunities she’s had
in several years to really work on her game. Tasha has spent the past couple
of summers doing more rehabilitation than anything else. While her game has
remained strong thanks to natural ability and the work put in during the season,
missing that offseason work has slowed down her own development.
With the various injuries Humphrey has battled over her career, she’s often
had to spend the first part of the season just getting back into playing condition.
That was the case last year, and the situation was exacerbated by the suspension
which kept her out of the first five games. By the time Humphrey had started
to round into top form, we were into the SEC season. Things could be different
this year. If she’s staying injury-free and playing against top competition
at the Pan Am games, she’ll be that much better and ready to go out of the gate
in November. With all eyes on her as a senior, a summer like this is just what
the doctor ordered.
Thursday July 12, 2007
Oklahoma got what I consider to be a
slap on the wrist yesterday for the Rhett Bomar business. Other than the
loss of two scholarships for a couple of seasons and some minor recruiting restrictions,
the only other penalty was the requirement that Oklahoma forfeit its 2005 season.
When boosters are paying players, the penalties can be much more severe. Still,
Oklahoma
will appeal.
Is forfeiting games the most toothless penalty there is? It’s like not being
able to pay the tab at a restaurant and, as punishment, having to say that you
really didn’t eat the meal.
Rogue boosters are the worst nightmare for any program, and there are often
few consequences for them when NCAA rules are violated. It’s usually the current
student-athletes who have to pay the piper, and that’s the case again here.
Bomar took the improper benefits, but the Oklahoma teams three and four years
removed from Bomar’s transgression will be the ones to suffer.
Wednesday July 11, 2007
The Falcons’ capable color man Dave Archer has signed on with Lincoln Financial to be part of the broadcast team for the regional SEC Game of the Week broadcasts. Archer replaces Dave Rowe. He’ll join Dave Neal and Dave Baker for the 12:30 broadcasts. This change is definitely an improvement.
Wednesday July 11, 2007
I guess the AJC felt as if they couldn’t let Mark
Bradley’s column go unanswered, so they woke Furman Bisher up to
write some sort of response. The result is one of the more timid, mealy-mouthed,
and noncommittal columns you’ll ever read from someone paid to be an opinion
columnist. Of course it’s July and we don’t know what Tech and Georgia
will look like in November. Who cares about Saratoga? This is the South, the
preseason magazine have hit the stands with their prognostications, and we’re
talking college football a month before practice starts. Either dive in and
embrace it or go into hiding until the British Open.
But Bisher quickly leaves the subject of this year’s Tech-Georgia game and
turns wistful as he joins in the "what if Taylor Bennett had played more"
fantasy. It’s not the first time Bisher’s been down this road. He declared that
Chan Gailey owed
the Tech old guard an explanation after the Gator Bowl.
In Bisher’s efforts this time to paint this picture of a golden arm left "chained
to the sideline", he takes some pretty big liberties with recent history.
First, he lauds Bennett for "(keeping) the ship afloat against Connecticut,"
a game in which Bennett completed 11 of 30 passes for 142 yards against the
formidable Husky defense.
I can’t believe that I’m not piling on Reggie Ball here, but it’s not as if
he was without accomplishments after his freshman season. It’s true that he
didn’t have the expected progression from that impressive debut to a mature,
consistent, and efficient signal-caller. He was famously bad against Tech’s
most important opponent. He did manage to beat teams like Clemson and Miami
twice, added a win this season on the road over Virginia Tech, a second win
over Auburn, and got his team into the ACC Championship Game. He reminded no
one of Vince Young or even Joe Hamilton, but Bisher’s claim that Ball "was
better when he got there than when he left" doesn’t stand up.
Bisher makes a reference to the 2004 Georgia game. "When Ball was crashing
— and oh, how many crashes he had, not the most crucial of which was losing
count of the downs and making a throwaway pass against Georgia — why not
Bennett?" Well, for one, Bennett was redshirting in 2004 as a true freshman.
He didn’t see his first game experience until 2005. Placing that "crash"
completely on Ball is another questionable recollection. That series was a meltdown
of the entire Tech offense, culminating in Ball’s blunder but highlighted by
confusion on the sideline where offensive coordinator Patrick
Nix inexplicably ordered Ball to spike the ball on third down.
That 2004 Georgia game does provide a good lesson in this grass-is-greener
game. Bisher asserts that "Chan Gailey stubbornly stuck with Ball,"
but Gailey did try someone else when Ball was struggling, even if it
wasn’t Bennett. Damarius Bilbo got a chance against the Dawgs and was even
worse. 3 completions, 10 attempts, and 29 yards. Gailey eventually gave
up and went back to his starter. The quarterback position was up for grabs several
times during Ball’s four years, and each time he held off the competitors.
Against challenges from Bilbo, Pat Clark, and Bennett, Ball stood
out time after time. Tech’s own official site declared
the position up for competition entering the 2005 spring practice, but Ball
emerged again with a clear-cut victory.
We finally come to Bennett’s masterpiece – the 19-for-29, 326 yard performance
in the Gator Bowl. I’ve talked
about that game here recently, so we’ll avoid going back over that ground.
What Bisher doesn’t tell us is that Bennett’s "dazzling day" in the
Gator Bowl fizzled as the game went on. The nascent Young-to-Rice of Bennett-to-Johnson
combination was held scoreless for the final 28 minutes of the game.
Bisher believes that "Georgia Tech hadn’t seen a passing combination
like (Bennett and Johnson) since Joe Hamilton and Harvey Middleton." Hmm.
Johnson’s performance against West Virginia certainly was a great final performance.
He had 9 receptions, 186 yards, and 2 touchdowns. It was also hardly his only
explosive performance of the season. He had six receptions for 115 yards and
2 touchdowns against a much better Virginia Tech defense. He had 9 receptions
for 168 yards against NC State. He shredded Virginia for 165 yards and 2 more
touchdowns. Was it really the quarterback?
We’ll let Bisher build Bennett up and watch Tech fans cling onto the hope that
it just has to get better with Bennett. Behind Choice and another quality
defense, I think they’ll be rather good actually. Bennett might just turn out
to be better by default if he avoids the disasters that plagued Ball, but I’m
not convinced that Bennett will be the right answer in those times when Tech
needs the quarterback to carry them. It will be an entertaining story to watch
in the fall especially knowing that the best quarterback in the state still
is in Athens.
Tuesday July 10, 2007
Why is everyone so hung up on schedules?
No, I know it’s July and we have little else to talk about. Scheduling debates
are right up there with playoff proposals when it comes to pointless offseason
parlor games. This week alone, scheduling – weak, strong, or otherwise – is
mentioned in no
fewer than three
pieces in CFR’s weekly must-read Pundit
Roundup.
So what is it about scheduling that has everyone weighing in? For most, I think
it comes down to plain, old machismo. Manhood. Basically you have fans and pundits
across the country calling each other chicken.
"Playing NW Georgia State, huh? Must be afraid to go outside your ZIP
code for a real opponent."
"Oh yeah? At least we’re playing someone else who’s seen the Top 25 this
decade. When was the last time that Wyoming Tech beat anyone?"
"We have to play them. They’re our traditional rival. It’s not our fault
that they’re not Miami. ESPN still says we have the #20 schedule."
And so it goes. You’ve seen or heard that same "debate" countless
times on message boards, talk radio, and so on, and now it’s bleeding into the
punditry. Challenging a diehard fan’s manhood (in this case, their team’s schedule)
is a quick and surefire way to provoke a response and generate some spirited
discussion. But does it really change anything if you’re able to prove to the
world that you really do have a tough schedule?
Who you schedule really doesn’t matter nearly as much as winning.
Unless we’re dealing with a true BCS outlier like Boise, Utah, etc., an undefeated
team from a BCS conference will almost always trump a team with a loss regardless
of who the undefeated team scheduled out of conference. The quality within most
any major conference (yes, even the PAC 10) will take care of that. Even when
two teams share the same record, it’s my belief that their relative preseason
rankings matter more than a strength of schedule metric.
A team certainly doesn’t need a grueling schedule in order to win the national
title. In fact, Florida
is the only champion in the 2000s with a Top 10 schedule. Most of the others
were in the high teens to 20s. It should be noted that the strength of Florida’s
schedule last year came from its conference schedule which required the Gators
to play LSU, Auburn, Alabama, Tennessee, and Georgia (plus two other bowl-bound
teams in Kentucky and South Carolina). Florida’s nonconference schedule in 2006
was quite unremarkable with a struggling FSU as its highlight.
With that in mind, why aim to have a tough schedule at all?
In terms of the goal of winning a national title, what is the payoff versus
the unnecessary risk of a loss? If Texas can go through the Big 12 undefeated
this year, I can virtually guarantee them a spot in the national title game
even though their nonconference schedule consists of Arkansas State, TCU, Central
Florida, and Rice. Sure, they’d have to have someone like LSU or Southern Cal
lose along the way, but we rarely have multiple undefeated BCS teams. With this
year’s Narrative already shaping up though ("USC
and LSU have to play for the national championship this season. It is no
longer possible to envision any other satisfying conclusion,") would
bulking up the Texas schedule really do anything to sway a punditry already
selling us on an LSU-Southern Cal title game? Nope.
So what does Mack Brown care if Mark Schlabach or I or some Dallas talk radio
station or Raleigh sportswriter thinks that the Texas schedule is weak? All
he knows is that if he wins, he’s in the national title game. Texas or any other
major program won’t be lacking for exposure and airtime. What’s his incentive
for another series with Ohio State or a similar team? Put in another light,
if "the regular season is our playoff", why wouldn’t you make your
"bracket" as easy as possible?
I will admit that I’ve come around just a bit on this subject. Though I still
think that seeking out a regular season matchup between two Top 10 teams isn’t
very rational (though it might be great for fans), I’m no longer 100% sold on
the "path of least resistance". I can see the place for regional rivalries.
I accept that you do have to placate the fans sometimes and schedule a game
in South Bend. I can even buy that a tougher opponent might prepare you for
other challenges down the road – perhaps even in a different season. Is it coincidence
that Georgia’s three recent SEC Championship appearances have come in years
when they’ve had a "real" opening game opponent? Probably, but I’m
hoping that’s the case again this year.
Those unhappy with this scheduling reality can complain about weak schedules
all they like and try to change things with a campaign of shame, but in the
end we have to get down to talking about incentives. Which behaviors get rewarded
(in terms of titles and money), and which are penalized?
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