Aaron Murray has been all
over the news this week with some standout performances at two major national
prep events. Kirk
Herbstreit gushed over Matthew Stafford yesterday at the Elite 11 camp.
It’s a good time to be a Georgia quarterback.
Greene and Shockley proved to be a productive and popular tandem, but they
might end up being the opening act for an unparalleled level of quarterback
talent at Georgia. With Moreno, King, Samuel, and others Georgia’s traditional
strength at tailback is as solid as ever, but now the quarterback position looks
to be just as deep and talented. At the very least, Georgia might soon have
its first first-round draft pick at QB since Johnny Rauch in 1949.
Whenever a high-profile position gets loaded with talent, the depth chart always
generates a lot of interest. Who plays, who sits, and - sometimes - who transfers?
That will certainly be the case at the key position of quarterback. Stafford
is set as the starter for as long as he’s in Athens and healthy, but at some
point in the next two years we will once again be looking for a new starter.
The big wildcard of course is Matthew Stafford’s senior season. Does he stay
or does he go? His name is all over the mock drafts, and Herbstreit isn’t the
first to consider Stafford first round talent. On the other hand, Georgia’s
accomplishments and Stafford’s stats in 2008 will have a lot to do with his
potential draft position. He’ll have to put up better numbers as a junior of
course, but it’s not out of reach. JaMarcus Russell became a top draft pick
by throwing for nearly 2,800 yards, 26 touchdowns, and 7 interceptions as a
junior. Stafford threw for 2,523 yards, 19 touchdowns, and 10 interceptions
last year. A few more touchdowns, a bit more protective of the ball, and he’s
right there.
It’s impossible to know Stafford’s decision at this point, so we’ll look at
the question from both possibilities.
If Stafford Stays
If Stafford returns for his senior season, the 2009 season is taken care of.
The only questions will be further down the depth chart. With two seniors and
a legitimate redshirt sophomore on the depth chart, it seems a near certainty
that the two incoming 2009 freshmen quarterbacks would redshirt.
Things would become more interesting in 2010. Stafford and Cox would have moved
on, and the contenders for the position would be:
- Logan Gray (RJr.)
- Aaron Murray (RFr.)
- Zach Mettenberger (RFr.)
Gray would seem to have the advantage. He’d have seen at least limited action
in 2008 and 2009, and the other two would be coming off of redshirt seasons
and have only scrimmage experience.
If Stafford Declares for the NFL Draft
A quarterback competition in 2009 would involve the same three guys with one
key addition.
- Joe Cox (RSr.)
- Logan Gray (RSo.)
- Aaron Murray (Fr.)
- Zach Mettenberger (Fr.)
At first glance, it almost seems like 2006 all over again. You have a career
backup who suddenly rises to the top of the depth chart as a senior. Fans, perpetually
attracted to that new recruit smell, will be likely more interested to see a
pair of promising freshmen.
But I suspect that Joe Cox would do more to hold on to the job than Tereshinski
did in 2006. The presence of Gray also complicates things, and it’s possible
then that at least one of the true freshmen would redshirt. If you asked the
Georgia fans who pay attention to these things, I suspect most would expect
Gray to win the job if only on the basis of what they remember from G-Day. I
would just hope that the situation doesn’t mirror 2006 in that the position
is unsettled - to the detriment of the team - into the middle of the season.
The depth chart at the end of the 2008 season will at least tell us who the
favorite is going into spring.
The "cleanest" scenario seems to be if Stafford stays for his senior
year. Gray would be ready to step in as a redshirt junior, and Murray and Mettenberger
would continue to develop until their turn to fight it out as juniors. It might
seem absurd to think that we’d have to wait until 2012 to see a quarterback
as promising as Murray take the reigns, but isn’t that preferred to having to
turn to a new freshman every four years or so? We value depth and the ability
to turn over experienced players every few years at positions on the offensive
and defensive lines, and Mark Richt looks to be setting up the quarterback position
to do the same.